Exponentially better Ramsey upper bounds

An exciting paper by Balister, Bollobás, Campos, Griffiths, Hurley, Morris, Sahasrabudhe, and Tiba (Balister et al. 2026) has just been accepted to the Journal of the American Mathematical Society (JAMS). In this work, the authors establish a new upper bound for Ramsey numbers with an arbitrary number of colours. Remarkably, when , their bound is exponentially smaller than all previously known bounds, representing a major breakthrough in the area.

Let denote the complete graph on vertices. In his seminal 1930 paper, Ramsey proved that for any positive integers and , there exists an integer such that every red–blue colouring of the edges of contains either a red copy of or a blue copy of . The smallest such is denoted by and is called the (two-colour) Ramsey number. The special case is referred to as the diagonal Ramsey number.

Since Ramsey’s foundational result, estimating Ramsey numbers has become one of the central problems in graph theory and combinatorics. A first general upper bound was obtained in 1935 by Erdős and Szekeres, who proved that where denotes the binomial coefficient. In particular, this implies that Asymptotically, this bound grows like up to lower-order factors. For nearly 90 years, a long sequence of works succeeded in refining only these lower-order terms, while the leading exponential constant remained unchanged.

A dramatic shift occurred with the recent work of Campos, Griffiths, Morris, and Sahasrabudhe (Campos et al. 2026), accepted for publication in the Annals of Mathematics. They obtained the first genuine exponential improvement over the Erdős–Szekeres bound.

The authors showed that one may take , and noted that further technical optimisation could improve this value. This was subsequently carried out by Gupta, Ndiaye, Norin, and Wei (Gupta et al. 2024), who proved Theorem  with .

While Theorem  resolves a long-standing problem for the two-colour case, Ramsey theory naturally extends to multiple colours. For an integer , let denote the smallest integer such that every colouring of the edges of with colours contains a monochromatic copy of . With this notation, . A major theme in the subject is to study for fixed as .

A straightforward generalisation of the Erdős–Szekeres argument yields the upper bound For many decades, this remained the best known estimate, up to improvements in the lower-order term. In their JAMS paper, Balister et al. (Balister et al. 2026) obtained the first exponential improvement over .

In the case , Theorem  provides an alternative—and significantly shorter—proof of Theorem  . For all , Theorem  is new.

For comparison, the best known lower bound for multicolour Ramsey numbers has the form where (Sawin 2022). In particular, for we only know that This remains vastly smaller than the current upper bounds in Theorems  and  . Closing this exponential gap is one of the most intriguing open problems in Ramsey theory, and the true growth rate of Ramsey numbers continues to be a deep mystery.

References

Balister, Paul, Béla Bollobás, Marcelo Campos, Simon Griffiths, Eoin Hurley, Robert Morris, Julian Sahasrabudhe, and Marius Tiba. 2026. “Upper Bounds for Multicolour Ramsey Numbers.” Journal of the American Mathematical Society. https://doi.org/10.1090/jams/1069.
Campos, Marcelo, Simon Griffiths, Robert Morris, and Julian Sahasrabudhe. 2026. “An Exponential Improvement for Diagonal Ramsey.” Annals of Mathematics.
Gupta, Parth, Ndiame Ndiaye, Sergey Norin, and Louis Wei. 2024. “Optimizing the CGMS Upper Bound on Ramsey Numbers.” arXiv Preprint arXiv:2407.19026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.19026.
Sawin, Will. 2022. “An Improved Multicolor Ramsey Numbers and a Problem of Erdős.” J. Combin. Theory Ser. A 188: Paper No. 105579, 11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcta.2021.105579.

No comment found.

Add a comment

You must log in to post a comment.